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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV TNT, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 12:06 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.5 to 3.7; shots on goal were PIT 41, NYR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Igor Shesterkin (39 saves, .951), 3. Frank Vatrano (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin39 saves, .951
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    F. Vatrano1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT111114016241
NYRNYR11421729540

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:50
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    8:52

2nd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    2:59
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:06
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.32win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:34

3rd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    8:02
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    9:49

Penalties

PIT 12 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:36NYRPatrik Nemeth · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 16:35NYRRyan Strome · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:05PITJohn Marino · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 13:53PITKasperi Kapanen · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 12:25PITBrock McGinn · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 12:25NYRFilip Chytil · Slashingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 17:56PITJeff Carter · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 17:56PITJeff Carter · Roughingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 17:56NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 19:30PITEvan Rodrigues · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 12:06 — NYR 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.26R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.24A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.18A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.15K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.12A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00I. Shesterkin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.7 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
4.52 G
All situations
5 G3.7
3.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 120 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT64%36%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.35 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
41
Shots on goal
40
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
40
12
Blocked shots
8
25
Giveaways
23
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-320.20530—26:35
5M. MathesonD011-300.25100—23:24
17B. RustR011050.59220—21:55
59J. GuentzelC101-160.40200020:13
6J. MarinoD000+110.05002—19:56
87S. CrosbyC112-161.220105419:49
28M. PetterssonD011010.09220—19:41
71E. MalkinC000-130.432004418:18
43D. HeinenL000-140.48100—14:57
77J. CarterC000020.223047514:39
42K. KapanenR000040.16102—14:36
9E. RodriguesC000020.040025014:31
23B. McGinnL000000.03002—14:10
52M. FriedmanD000+130.18010—11:55
2C. RuhwedelD000000.00310—11:45
53T. BluegerC000010.063004310:39
11B. BoyleC000010.041105010:32
10D. O'ConnorL000-200.02110—06:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)40355.8753.45-1.5557:28

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).