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Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV BSW, KCOP-13·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Edler's goal at 6:21 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 21, LAK 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Arthur Kaliyev (1 G, 1 A), 2. Quinton Byfield (2 A), 3. Matt Roy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kaliyev1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    Q. Byfield2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    M. Roy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA092507221
LAKLAK115113212440

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:04

2nd period

  1. ANA
    T. Zegras(22)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:34
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:06
  3. LAK
    slapxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:33

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.03win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:21
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe (19), A. Kopitar (47)
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    19:35

Penalties

ANA 16 PIM·LAK 23 PIM

1st

  • 15:39ANAZachary Aston-Reese · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 16:15ANARyan Getzlaf · High stickingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

2nd

  • 2:52LAKQuinton Byfield · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 5:38ANADominik Simon · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 14:11ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 16:43LAKCarl Grundstrom · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anthony Stolarz2 min

3rd

  • 11:24LAKCarl Grundstrom · Roughingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 11:24LAKCarl Grundstrom · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 11:24ANATrevor Zegras · Cross checkingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 11:24ANADominik Simon · Roughingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 18:50ANAAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 19:54LAKArthur Kaliyev · Game misconduct10 min
  • 19:54LAKArthur Kaliyev · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Mahura5 min
  • 19:54ANAJosh Mahura · Roughingdrawn by Arthur Kaliyev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalANA goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Edler, 3rd 6:21 — LAK 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.35A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.29A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.16P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.15P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kaliyev · Goal · xG 0.14Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.13A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.11M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · Goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · Goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 4.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsLAK
1.92 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA20%80%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsLAK
21
Shots on goal
40
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
1/5
16
Penalty minutes
23
29
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.05140—27:11
22K. ShattenkirkD000-110.10002—25:01
15R. GetzlafC011-110.114025221:16
19T. TerryR000-130.22020—20:15
34J. DrysdaleD000-120.05120—19:30
14A. HenriqueC000-100.2000210018:56
5U. VaakanainenD000-100.00100—18:02
92A. SustrD000010.01220—17:03
21I. LundestromC000-120.260006316:39
26G. MayhewC101+120.14300015:09
46T. ZegrasC101+110.132026015:02
12S. MilanoL011010.01200—13:20
76J. MahuraD011020.03402—13:19
16Z. Aston-ReeseL000-120.19412—13:17
44M. ComtoisL000-100.08210—12:07
23S. SteelC000-100.062003311:51
51D. SimonC000-120.2300410011:50
38D. GrantC000000.00100003:02
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(L)39363.9233.71+0.7158:25

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).