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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 30, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.8 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 3. Artemi Panarin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    F. Vatrano1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0908013030
NYRNYR0102816324

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:24
  2. NYR
    A. Copp (29), J. Trouba (25)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    9:47

3rd period

  1. NYR
    D. Hunt(5)EN
    wristxG 0.40
    0-3
    19:22

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:41NYRJacob Trouba · Elbowingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:42PITRickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

3rd

  • 6:34NYRJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:37PITAnthony Angello · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 15:08NYRJonny Brodzinski · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 16:33NYRBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 16:33PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 2nd 9:47 — NYR 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.53D. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.40F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
2.80 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT79%21%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 1.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
24
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-230.11400—25:07
17B. RustR000-200.05000—21:33
59J. GuentzelC000-220.43200021:27
8B. DumoulinD000-100.00110—21:07
71E. MalkinC000-100.001123320:12
9E. RodriguesC000-290.580006718:52
67R. RakellR000-120.46212—18:52
5M. MathesonD000-140.40120—18:08
77J. CarterC000-250.271105017:23
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.01030—16:51
28M. PetterssonD000010.01330—16:06
53T. BluegerC000000.111106715:52
52M. FriedmanD000010.05220—15:03
42K. KapanenR000-120.14300—14:22
43D. HeinenL000010.15110—13:46
11B. BoyleC000000.012005010:39
57A. AngelloC000000.00402007:37
36F. HallanderC000000.00000005:52
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)23212.9131.20-0.8057:11

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).