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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 3:58 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 21, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.1 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (3 A), 2. Chris Kreider (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT050818121
NYRNYR31111319533

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:07
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:58
  3. NYR
    slapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    4:16

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(44)SHG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    6:37

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(15)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    6:00
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.10
    1-5
    17:47

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:14PITSidney Crosby · Holdingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 15:50NYRDryden Hunt · High sticking double minordrawn by Marcus Pettersson4 min

2nd

  • 5:27NYRIgor Shesterkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:15NYRPatrik Nemeth · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 1st 3:58 — NYR 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.19C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.18J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.15A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.13J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.10A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.07T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
1.81 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.40 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT28%72%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
33
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. MathesonD000-210.01120—21:51
58K. LetangD000-300.02120—21:43
17B. RustR000-120.13010—20:18
6J. MarinoD000000.00100—19:56
9E. RodriguesC000-240.550106719:52
59J. GuentzelC000-220.26420019:52
87S. CrosbyC000-220.261125819:35
8B. DumoulinD000-120.03010—18:55
77J. CarterC101-220.221007318:17
67R. RakellR000-200.04220—17:57
53T. BluegerC000-200.015004016:27
2C. RuhwedelD000-230.08130—16:08
42K. KapanenR011-100.00100—15:43
43D. HeinenL011-210.09300—15:17
28M. PetterssonD000-100.06120—13:43
11B. BoyleC000010.011007509:54
63R. ZohornaL000000.00100—07:24
52M. FriedmanD000010.06010—05:08
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)30255.8332.85-2.1555:41
1C. DeSmith3301.0000.25+0.2504:19

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).