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New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV TNT·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4 in overtime, Andrew Copp scoring at 1:34. The lead changed hands 4 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 1:34 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYR 34, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.3 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (1 G), 2. Moritz Seider (2 A), 3. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Copp1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR2911111311534
DETDET281111502426

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:23
  2. DET
    snapxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:59
  3. DET
    J. Vrana(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    17:23
  4. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:34

2nd period

  1. DET
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    0:29
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    12:15

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Staal (11), P. Suter (16)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:56
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(46)PPG
    A. Panarin (61), A. Fox (56)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +33 pts
    4-4
    16:22

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:34

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:26NYRAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 19:53NYRGreg McKegg · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

2nd

  • 17:38DETGustav Lindstrom · Hookingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

3rd

  • 10:26NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Trippingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 15:47DETGustav Lindstrom · High stickingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, OT 1:34 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.25J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.15J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.15L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.05J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.01T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 1.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsDET
3.85 G
All situations
4 G1.7
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR82%18%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsDET
34
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-130.13430—24:58
23A. FoxD011030.23010—24:20
79K. MillerD000010.02400—22:56
20C. KreiderL101-160.74000—19:49
55R. LindgrenD000010.08010—19:28
93M. ZibanejadC011010.492004418:42
10A. PanarinL123+320.34000—17:50
18A. CoppC101+250.370026017:37
21B. GoodrowC000020.050007517:32
13A. LafrenièreL000+100.281025015:48
72F. ChytilC101+120.070005015:27
45B. SchneiderD011+200.00130—14:10
77F. VatranoR011020.3010010014:00
12P. NemethD011+200.00210—13:35
64T. MotteC000020.21310012:37
29D. HuntL000020.24000—12:23
14G. McKeggC000-100.002022509:34
75R. ReavesR101020.21200—09:23
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)26224.8461.71-2.2961:34

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).