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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSDETX·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 11-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teddy Blueger's goal at 14:23 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were DET 35, PIT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 15 of 22 (.682), 5.0 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (3 G, 1 A), 2. Teddy Blueger (1 G, 2 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Blueger1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET01321309235
PITPIT285124151135

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. Heinen (13), J. Carter (21)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:16
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:23

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(14)PPG
    K. Letang (48), S. Crosby (44)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    1:48
  2. PIT
    J. Carter(16)SHG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    3:18
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(22)PPG
    S. Crosby (45), E. Malkin (16)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    5:57
  4. PIT
    B. Rust (32), R. Rakell (13)
    wristxG 0.11
    0-6
    7:53
  5. DET
    D. Larkin(28)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.16
    1-6
    11:37
  6. DET
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    18:04
  7. PIT
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    2-7
    19:21

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. Heinen(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    2-8
    2:06
  2. PIT
    B. Rust (33), K. Letang (49)
    snapxG 0.05
    2-9
    5:51
  3. PIT
    backhandxG 0.06
    2-10
    7:15
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.10
    2-11
    17:08

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

2nd

  • 1:44DETPius Suter · Hookingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 2:46PITBrian Boyle · Holdingdrawn by Taro Hirose2 min
  • 5:21DETAdam Erne · Slashingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 9:39PITEvan Rodrigues · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 10:22PITBrian Dumoulin · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 15:43DETMichael Rasmussen · Cross checkingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

3rd

  • 0:31DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 2:23PITChad Ruhwedel · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 7:56PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 8:53DETMichael Rasmussen · High sticking double minordrawn by Chad Ruhwedel4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Teddy Blueger, 1st 14:23 — PIT 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.23R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.15B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.15K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.14B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.14E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.13B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.13E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.11B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.10K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.09T. Blueger · Goal · xG 0.07D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.07J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boyle · Goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT11 G · 3.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
3.12 G
All situations
11 G3.5
1.91 G
Even strength
7 G2.2
0.91 G
Power play
3 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET43%57%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
35
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/5
Power play
3/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
20
5
Giveaways
1
15
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
82J. OesterleD000-310.05110—23:37
17F. HronekD000-200.01100—22:33
53M. SeiderD000-340.12410—20:14
8J. WalmanD000-320.18120—18:21
59T. BertuzziL000-370.70000—17:33
71D. LarkinC101-330.711127017:18
24P. SuterC000-210.180022016:58
23L. RaymondL011-310.0110010016:57
84O. JuoleviD000010.05200—16:47
15J. VranaL112-140.4531010016:03
28G. LindstromD000-200.00010—15:45
70O. SundqvistC000-310.00100015:41
90J. VelenoC000-110.022004614:49
89S. GagnerC000030.180003314:41
73A. ErneL000-120.13102—12:47
27M. RasmussenC000-230.233066411:59
25T. HiroseL000-100.00100—10:07
11F. ZadinaR000-210.02010—09:35
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)22157.6821.99-5.0137:49
31C. Pickard1394.6921.52-2.4822:11

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).