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Flyers at Red Wings
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸6
FinalTV BSDET, NBCSP·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 18:51 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 33, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marc Staal (1 A), 2. Jakub Vrana (2 G), 3. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Staal1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Vrana2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI07210116333
DETDET28210213631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Veleno(7)
    G. Smith (3), F. Hronek (25)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:17
  2. DET
    J. Vrana(4)
    P. Suter (13), T. Bertuzzi (26)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:15

2nd period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(20)
    D. Larkin (33), G. Lindstrom (11)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:07
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(13)
    K. Hayes (10), T. Konecny (29)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    1:32
  3. PHI
    O. Lindblom(11)
    T. Konecny (30), K. Hayes (11)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    7:56
  4. DET
    J. Vrana(5)
    D. Larkin (34), T. Bertuzzi (27)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    18:51

3rd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(15)
    C. Atkinson (25), J. Farabee (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    11:23
  2. DET
    O. Sundqvist(5)EN
    P. Suter (14), F. Hronek (26)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    17:09
  3. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(25)EN
    O. Sundqvist (12), M. Staal (10)
    snapxG 0.42
    3-6
    18:49

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·DET 14 PIM

1st

  • 14:47DETGivani Smith · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

3rd

  • 6:10PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
  • 6:10DETGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 6:36DETGustav Lindstrom · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 18:51PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
  • 18:51DETGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPHI goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 2nd 18:51 — DET 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.42O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.38T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.31S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.25J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.22P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.17L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.13J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.12S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.12L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.12P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.11J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.06J. Veleno · Goal · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
DET6 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDET
2.53 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI49%51%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDET
33
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/0
10
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45C. YorkD000-110.01040—23:36
9I. ProvorovD000-130.27000—21:24
70R. RistolainenD000-230.05410—20:50
6T. SanheimD000-200.00020—20:39
13K. HayesR022030.250004418:15
25J. van RiemsdykL101-130.44310—18:11
74O. TippettR000-120.04210—18:09
11T. KonecnyR022-110.03000—17:54
86J. FarabeeL112030.782004317:52
89C. AtkinsonR011-140.14000—17:39
48M. FrostC000-110.060005217:37
23O. LindblomL101010.11000—15:45
38P. BrownC000-300.003105615:13
71M. WillmanC000-230.11100013:38
8K. ConnautonD000020.09320—11:54
3K. YandleD000010.03000—11:37
17Z. MacEwenR000-110.062010—10:35
24N. SeelerD000010.01130—09:35
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)29254.8622.53-1.4759:37

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).