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Red Wings at Flyers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸6
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV BSDET, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robby Fabbri's goal at 11:00 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 34, PHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Robby Fabbri (1 G, 1 A), 3. Isaac Ratcliffe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    R. Fabbri1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Ratcliffe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET21521128634
PHIPHI2111805324

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(24)PPG
    L. Raymond (25), M. Seider (26)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    2:43
  2. PHI
    I. Ratcliffe(1)
    Z. MacEwen (3), N. Seeler (1)
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:03
  3. DET
    L. Raymond(12)
    F. Hronek (20), D. Larkin (22)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    6:02
  4. PHI
    T. Sanheim(3)
    C. Giroux (21), O. Lindblom (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    6:26

2nd period

  1. DET
    P. Suter(11)
    R. Fabbri (11), T. Bertuzzi (19)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    6:12
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(13)
    P. Suter (11), M. Seider (27)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    11:00
  3. PHI
    S. Laughton(8)
    T. Konecny (18), N. Seeler (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    11:21

3rd period

  1. DET
    G. Smith(4)
    J. Veleno (3), G. Lindstrom (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    8:46
  2. DET
    V. Namestnikov(13)EN
    S. Gagner (12)
    snapxG 0.93
    6-3
    19:05

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:18PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 3:03DETserved by F. Zadina · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:05PHIMax Willman · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 1:07PHIOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 2:13DETDylan Larkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Willman2 min
  • 7:39DETJoseph Veleno · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:59DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

3rd

  • 12:37DETRobby Fabbri · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalDET goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Robby Fabbri, 2nd 11:00 — DET 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.24I. Ratcliffe · Goal · xG 0.21J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.11R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.10M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.09G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.08M. Willman · Missed · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPHI
4.05 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.14 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET68%32%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPHI
34
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD022+330.11250—23:02
17F. HronekD011-220.03100—20:09
18M. StaalD000+120.08420—19:28
82J. OesterleD000020.07030—18:40
71D. LarkinC112+230.070044618:38
28G. LindstromD011+210.02110—17:55
24P. SuterC112+120.510105017:41
65D. DeKeyserD000010.12100—17:25
23L. RaymondL112+130.4010010016:14
59T. BertuzziL011000.00000—15:44
92V. NamestnikovC101+110.95000015:38
89S. GagnerC011+110.050006015:33
14R. FabbriC112010.3611210015:00
27M. RasmussenC000030.271105714:51
11F. ZadinaR000+140.53000—13:42
90J. VelenoC011-100.191025012:00
73A. ErneL000030.18000—10:25
48G. SmithR101020.05300—07:58
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)24213.8752.01-0.9959:57

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).