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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SNE, SN360·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Byron's goal at 2:42 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 30, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.8 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Evans (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Armia (1 G), 3. Jake Allen (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Armia1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Allen29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11301106130
MTLMTL11031017527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:32
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(26)PPG
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    18:51

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:42
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:23
  3. MTL
    J. Armia(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:27

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    8:14

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:34MTLJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Victor Mete2 min
  • 13:50OTTTyler Ennis · Slashingdrawn by Corey Schueneman2 min
  • 17:01MTLJeff Petry · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 18:02OTTBrady Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Rem Pitlick2 min
  • 19:06OTTJosh Norris · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min
  • 19:06MTLChris Wideman · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

3rd

  • 20:00MTLRem Pitlick · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Byron, 2nd 2:42 — MTL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.19J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.17J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.14B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.12C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.11C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.09J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL5 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
2.71 G
All situations
5 G2.2
2.10 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT61%39%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
27
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
26
11
Giveaways
24
1
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5N. HoldenD000-200.00110—21:13
22N. ZaitsevD000-100.00230—21:13
26E. BrannstromD000-110.05110—20:44
2A. ZubD000020.10210—20:01
28C. BrownR000020.17000—17:41
18T. StützleC011-110.111102317:17
9J. NorrisC101-120.232124517:14
36C. WhiteC011-130.350005017:12
3J. BrownD000-220.04330—17:04
10A. FormentonL000000.002205016:41
98V. MeteD000-210.04020—16:06
7B. TkachukL000-250.42002—16:00
63T. EnnisR000-110.0010210014:32
71C. TierneyC000-110.313008013:53
17A. GaudetteR000-130.59300—13:44
13Z. SanfordL000-230.05200—12:48
27D. GambrellC000-110.062003112:46
16A. WatsonL000-120.20700—10:26
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)27225.8152.16-2.8460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).