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Ducks at Islanders
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
3
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, BSSD·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 17:25 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were ANA 42, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. John Gibson stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.8 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (2 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (39 saves, .929), 3. Josh Bailey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin39 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA112114116342
NYINYI3131907429

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    Z. Parise(8)
    M. Barzal (26)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:18
  2. ANA
    J. Manson(4)
    B. Robinson (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:48
  3. NYI
    K. Palmieri(8)
    J. Bailey (22), J. Pageau (15)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:31
  4. NYI
    A. Lee(21)
    R. Pulock (11), A. Beauvillier (18)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:56

2nd period

  1. ANA
    I. Lundestrom(14)
    H. Lindholm (17), J. Drysdale (22)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    14:23
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(9)
    S. Mayfield (14), J. Bailey (23)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    17:25

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(14)
    T. Terry (22), T. Zegras (28)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +4 pts
    3-4
    18:16

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

2nd

  • 0:59ANAJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 14:17NYICasey Cizikas · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 14:17ANATrevor Zegras · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 19:22NYICasey Cizikas · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 4:01ANADerek Grant · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 9:42NYIZach Parise · Hookingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 14:34ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min
  • 14:34NYIRoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalANA goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 2nd 17:25 — NYI 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.74Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.20J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.12S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 3.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNYI
3.83 G
All situations
4 G3.0
3.23 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA74%26%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.75 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNYI
42
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000050.37110—27:46
19T. TerryR011+130.28000—22:12
46T. ZegrasC011-150.470122521:50
14A. HenriqueC101-130.520205020:39
44M. ComtoisL000030.24200—20:19
22K. ShattenkirkD000-120.08100—20:17
42J. MansonD101-130.38214—20:08
47H. LindholmD011+110.01000—18:58
34J. DrysdaleD011+110.11200—18:00
12S. MilanoL000-140.26010—16:44
28V. LettieriC000-230.250105716:24
21I. LundestromC101020.321103616:06
92A. SustrD000-210.08000—13:10
38D. GrantC000-110.010326710:46
20N. DeslauriersL000+110.22310—09:11
39S. CarrickC000+110.051004308:44
55D. O'ReganC000-110.031005007:02
53B. RobinsonR011+120.15010—05:17
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)29254.8622.24-1.7658:27

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).