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Capitals at Oilers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Final/OTTV TNT, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 3:27. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 3:27 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.2 to 3.2; shots on goal were WSH 32, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Malone (1 G, 1 A), 3. T.J. Oshie (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    B. Malone1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH091152701332
EDMEDM0202911011440

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(5)
    A. Mantha (5), T. Oshie (10)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    2:17
  2. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(12)PPG
    C. McDavid (51), E. Bouchard (21)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    12:01
  3. EDM
    C. Ceci(3)
    B. Malone (1), D. Ryan (8)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:12

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(7)PPG
    N. Backstrom (15), J. Carlson (36)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    6:13
  2. EDM
    B. Malone(1)
    Z. Kassian (10), E. Bouchard (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:31
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(8)
    J. Carlson (37), E. Kuznetsov (38)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:58

Overtime

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(30)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:27

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:19WSHDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 13:25WSHMartin Fehérváry · Interferencedrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 6:25EDMZach Hyman · Holdingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 8:44EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 11:33WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:56EDMWarren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

3rd

  • 2:30WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:57EDMWilliam Lagesson · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 3:27 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.30C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.29C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.29E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.28L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.27W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.25C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.24R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.24C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.12E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08B. Malone · Goal · xG 0.08C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.04P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 5.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsEDM
3.23 G
All situations
4 G5.2
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G3.4
1.31 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH23%77%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 5.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
40
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022+120.12020—25:50
92E. KuznetsovC011+100.211025623:00
9D. OrlovD000-120.10122—22:17
43T. WilsonR000+110.07210—22:08
8A. OvechkinL000080.56200—21:21
19N. BackstromC112+230.421006320:08
3N. JensenD000-100.00410—19:35
77T. OshieR213040.771103319:29
42M. FehérváryD000-210.09222—17:41
2J. SchultzD000030.11010—16:02
39A. ManthaR011+130.57300—15:57
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.01020—14:15
20L. EllerC000-300.010109113:53
73C. ShearyL000030.0902010013:35
26N. DowdC000000.001304611:28
21G. HathawayR000000.00100—10:47
24C. McMichaelL000-100.06000—10:01
45A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000010.01010—08:55
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(O)40364.9005.23+1.2360:58

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).