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Blues at Flyers
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV NBCSP, BSMW·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 8:51 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 5.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 26, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (25 saves, .962), 3. Oskar Lindblom (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    O. Lindblom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11001135426
PHIPHI0100719126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(15)
    I. Barbashev (20), J. Kyrou (27)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:50

3rd period

  1. PHI
    O. Lindblom(8)
    T. Sanheim (15), T. Konecny (23)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +30 pts
    1-1
    8:09
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(19)
    R. Thomas (33), N. Mikkola (7)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +31 pts
    2-1
    8:51
  3. STL
    I. Barbashev(16)EN
    O. Sundqvist (11), N. Mikkola (8)
    wristxG 0.74win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:07
  4. STL
    B. Saad(17)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.95
    4-1
    19:53

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 13:32PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 18:30STLNiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 14:58STLTorey Krug · Trippingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalSTL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 8:51 — STL 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.23M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.22C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.17O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.16O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.16T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.13S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.06Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01M. Willman · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPHI
5.02 G
All situations
1 G2.4
3.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL65%35%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
26
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000+230.22550—27:12
55C. ParaykoD000+310.00140—24:42
47T. KrugD000+110.02002—22:24
77N. MikkolaD022+200.04232—19:37
90R. O'ReillyC000+130.210204117:55
89P. BuchnevichL000+100.04000—17:44
18R. ThomasC011+130.390004417:40
91V. TarasenkoR101+120.89100—17:06
57D. PerronL000+100.00100—15:54
20B. SaadL101+121.02000—15:24
49I. BarbashevL112+130.99100—14:50
10B. SchennC101+130.361101714:38
70O. SundqvistC011+100.002102513:45
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.18100—13:18
25J. KyrouR011010.13000—11:51
46J. WalmanD000-120.26000—11:04
21T. BozakC000020.010002510:44
37K. KostinC000000.20100010:12
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)26251.9622.36+1.3660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).