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Oilers at Hurricanes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
FinalTV NHLN, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Edmonton Oilers 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Ryan's goal at 4:26 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 15% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 30, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (29 saves, .967), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    F. Andersen29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0811606130
CARCAR2160607229

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(15)
    A. Svechnikov (27), J. Chatfield (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:57
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(23)PPG
    T. Teravainen (28), A. Svechnikov (28)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    16:53

2nd period

  1. EDM
    D. Ryan(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:26

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:27EDMTyson Barrie · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 4:41CARVincent Trocheck · Roughingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 4:41EDMRyan McLeod · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 5:40CARBrady Skjei · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor McDavid4 min
  • 13:07EDMTyson Barrie · Holding the stickdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 15:57EDMserved by T. Benson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:23CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

2nd

  • 16:01CARJalen Chatfield · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalEDM goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Derek Ryan, 2nd 4:26 — EDM 15% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.18A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.13J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCAR
3.21 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM59%41%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCAR
30
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
29
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
11
22
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC000000.003102128:08
18Z. HymanL000-140.72000—26:39
25D. NurseD000020.08520—25:57
91E. KaneL000010.58110—23:52
97C. McDavidC000050.342107121:56
5C. CeciD000+120.08120—20:01
22T. BarrieD000020.02014—18:59
75E. BouchardD000-140.36200—18:42
71R. McLeodC000010.201024417:06
37W. FoegeleL000-120.141005016:04
10D. RyanC101+120.411203314:43
80M. NiemelainenD000-100.00600—12:39
16T. BensonL000+110.13100—11:40
84W. LagessonD000+100.00100—10:21
70C. SceviourC000010.03100007:40
14D. ShoreC000010.10100007:15
42B. PerliniL000010.02200—07:13
86P. BrobergD000010.02000—06:23
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)29272.9312.76+0.7657:47

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).