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Hurricanes at Oilers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Edmonton Oilers
1
FinalTV BSSO, SNO·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 10:11 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 17% to 34%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.0, EDM 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 31, EDM 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G), 3. Jaccob Slavin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11011417331
EDMEDM0101409123

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(14)PPG
    V. Trocheck (12), T. Teravainen (13)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    7:17

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(6)
    S. Aho (17)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:19
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(3)
    J. Puljujarvi (12), D. Nurse (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    10:11

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(15)
    T. Teravainen (14), I. Cole (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    17:16

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:25EDMZack Kassian · Boardingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

2nd

  • 7:05EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

3rd

  • 6:19CARBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 10:55CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCAR goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 2nd 10:11 — EDM 17% → 34%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.34C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.26R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.14R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM1 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsEDM
3.03 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR53%47%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
34
12
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+130.05120—29:49
28I. ColeD011+120.07210—25:50
16V. TrocheckC011020.441105220:48
76B. SkjeiD000+100.02214—19:27
37A. SvechnikovR000030.43200—18:48
64J. ChatfieldD000+100.00330—18:29
86T. TeravainenC022+210.0201010017:04
11J. StaalC000030.242003517:01
20S. AhoC213+250.872106016:52
88M. NecasC000010.01100015:42
24S. JarvisR000-110.07010—14:04
71J. FastR000000.00000—13:56
7B. SmithD000-120.04200—13:06
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.003005011:30
18D. StepanC000-120.22000010:58
78S. LorentzC000040.40100010:58
25E. BearD000-110.02010—10:56
21N. NiederreiterR101+210.12000—10:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)23221.9572.82+1.8260:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).