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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 18:48 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 37, NYR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.9 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A), 2. Igor Shesterkin (36 saves, .973), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin36 saves, .973
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH01109117137
NYRNYR171925421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:57

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    18:48

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (42), M. Zibanejad (33)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    6:57
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.13
    0-4
    11:09
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.11
    1-4
    18:58

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 20:00NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 1:07WSHAlex Ovechkin · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 14:59NYRChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 20:00NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Joe Snively2 min

3rd

  • 3:33WSHMartin Fehérváry · Holdingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 15:15NYRJulien Gauthier · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 17:34NYRRyan Lindgren · Slashingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 17:34WSHConor Sheary · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 17:34WSHConor Sheary · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 17:34NYRRyan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 2nd 18:48 — NYR 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.28D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.18M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.18C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.16J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.12M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.12J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.06J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 2.1 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
3.11 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.41 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH69%31%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
37
Shots on goal
21
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/4
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
12
17
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-240.19000—23:05
92E. KuznetsovC011050.622005820:46
8A. OvechkinL101-150.45122—20:09
77T. OshieR000-120.172107120:06
42M. FehérváryD000-110.01312—19:25
9D. OrlovD000-110.04200—19:21
3N. JensenD000010.04110—19:09
2J. SchultzD000-210.23010—17:19
20L. EllerC000-130.161105516:25
19N. BackstromC000-210.110005016:01
73C. ShearyL000-120.26004—15:47
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00130—15:03
43T. WilsonR000-210.02000—14:57
26N. DowdC000030.213008912:52
62C. HagelinL000000.01000—12:51
24C. McMichaelL000-130.2010010011:40
91J. SnivelyC000020.14000011:22
21G. HathawayR000020.26000—11:05
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)21174.8102.06-1.9458:37

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).