San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Victor Hedman scoring at 2:45. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 2:45 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 21, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. James Reimer stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Couture (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G).
Three stars
- ★V. Hedman1 G, 1 A

- ★★L. Couture1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Cirelli1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-11:32
1-14:50
1-218:08
3rd period
2-21:12
Overtime
2-32:45
Penalties
1st
- 2:07
Nicolas Meloche · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
- 10:58
Jan Rutta · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
2nd
- 11:58
Cal Foote · Interferencedrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
- 16:02
Rudolfs Balcers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 17:51
Logan Couture · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
- 18:24
Anthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
- 18:24
Timo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 18:24
Timo Meier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
3rd
- 0:31
Steven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
OT
- 2:06
Ryan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
- 2:06
Timo Meier · Embellishment2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Victor Hedman, OT 2:45 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.12 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.1
- 1.71 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.02
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/4
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 43
- Hits
- 37
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 1
- Giveaways
- 4
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 2-0
7@
1Final
2@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






