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Lightning at Sharks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
San Jose Sharks
1
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSUN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the San Jose Sharks 7-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 7:45 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were TBL 31, SJS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 15 of 18 (.833). Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ross Colton (2 G), 3. Mikhail Sergachev (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    R. Colton2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL41516210731
SJSSJS15010013128

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    R. Colton(7)
    R. McDonagh (13)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:17
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(20)
    A. Killorn (26), C. Foote (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    7:45
  3. TBL
    M. Joseph(7)
    S. Stamkos (30), M. Sergachev (19)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    11:04
  4. TBL
    C. Perry(11)
    P. Bellemare (8), R. McDonagh (14)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    4-0
    12:32
  5. SJS
    J. Megna(1)
    R. Merkley (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    16:40

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(16)
    N. Kucherov (11), A. Cirelli (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    6:24

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(13)PPG
    V. Hedman (35), N. Kucherov (12)
    tip-inxG 0.14
    6-1
    4:20
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(8)
    T. Raddysh (6), M. Sergachev (20)
    wristxG 0.17
    7-1
    4:53

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

2nd

  • 8:39TBLMathieu Joseph · Holdingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 3:04SJSAlexander Barabanov · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 7:24TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 17:01SJSJeffrey Viel · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalTBL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 1st 7:45 — TBL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.20M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Raska · Missed · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Raska · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.05J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.04A. Raska · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.02J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Megna · Goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.00R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsSJS
3.57 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.86 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL73%27%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD022+420.07010—24:50
77V. HedmanD011010.03000—23:31
27R. McDonaghD022+400.66010—23:00
52C. FooteD011000.00220—22:40
71A. CirelliC011+100.041008319:00
21B. PointC101+160.650005018:11
86N. KucherovR022+140.38002—17:42
91S. StamkosC112+230.300001016:41
10C. PerryR101+130.25000—16:30
41P. BellemareL011+120.180005815:53
17A. KillornL112+220.19010—15:32
14P. MaroonL000+110.0110010015:01
7M. JosephR101+220.2601210014:12
3F. ClaessonD000+100.00110—12:22
79R. ColtonC202+140.350009111:18
16T. RaddyshR011+100.0011010010:14
29A. SustrD000+100.00120—10:07
13B. KatchoukL000+110.17200—09:16
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1B. Elliott(W)28271.9642.16+1.1660:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).