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Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars

FinalTV NBCSWA, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Dallas Stars 5-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 7:54 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 62% to 74%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.5, DAL 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 29, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Braden Holtby stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McMichael (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vitek Vanecek (29 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek29 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH3192802529
DALDAL0140807029

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    1:29
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    7:54
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    13:08

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    12:03
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    16:50

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:19DALRoope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 7:21DALMiro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 15:07WSHCarl Hagelin · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

2nd

  • 6:03WSHJohn Carlson · High sticking double minordrawn by Jamie Benn4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWSH goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, 1st 7:54 — WSH 62% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.23R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.15L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.15J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.07R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01
DAL0 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsDAL
2.55 G
All situations
0 G2.6
2.13 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH48%52%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
29
37%
Faceoffs
63%
2/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD011+120.06230—22:59
42M. FehérváryD000010.02310—21:10
57T. van RiemsdykD101+110.01010—20:38
74J. CarlsonD101010.12044—20:22
2J. SchultzD011+200.00010—17:39
20L. EllerC011+200.011003617:10
43T. WilsonR101030.57000—16:51
52M. IrwinD000+220.05230—16:49
8A. OvechkinL000030.14100—16:20
92E. KuznetsovC022000.030003815:51
26N. DowdC000030.202005315:32
21G. HathawayR000020.05240—15:27
62C. HagelinL000030.21002—14:32
19N. BackstromC123+120.110002513:58
10D. SprongR000+130.55000—12:54
24C. McMichaelL112+210.17010—12:34
73C. ShearyL000+110.07100—12:33
91J. SnivelyC011+210.08010011:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)292901.0002.56+2.5659:27

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).