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Stars at Capitals
NHL

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSSW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 8:56 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 6% to 21%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 23, WSH 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G), 2. Jake Oettinger (36 saves, .947), 3. Dmitry Orlov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL21111002323
WSHWSH09115114238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    A. Radulov(4)
    E. Lindell (18), M. Studenic (1)
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:17
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(24)PPG
    J. Robertson (26), J. Pavelski (38)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    17:55

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(40)PPG
    J. Carlson (41), E. Kuznetsov (41)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    4:53
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(25)PPG
    J. Pavelski (39), T. Seguin (17)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    10:38

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Orlov(10)
    T. Wilson (24)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    8:56

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:04DALJani Hakanpää · Holdingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 9:25DALJason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 17:15WSHMartin Fehérváry · Trippingdrawn by Marián Studenic2 min
  • 18:43DALAlexander Radulov · Holdingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

2nd

  • 4:30DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Axel Jonsson-Fjallby2 min
  • 10:11WSHNick Jensen · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

3rd

  • 9:39WSHGarnet Hathaway · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Oettinger2 min
  • 15:01DALMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 19:39WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 19:39DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalDAL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 3rd 8:56 — WSH 6% → 21%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.22E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.20E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.19J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.08D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 3.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsWSH
2.63 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.41 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.22 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL43%57%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
38
63%
Faceoffs
37%
2/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-120.04110—24:57
23E. LindellD011+120.05120—24:53
3J. KlingbergD000+120.34100—22:34
2J. HakanpääD000-110.04302—21:20
24R. HintzC202020.341005018:11
12R. FaksaC000010.090204317:47
91T. SeguinC011-100.061008217:33
16J. PavelskiC022-130.29020017:18
11L. GlendeningC000010.172108216:35
14J. BennL000+110.272046314:47
21J. RobertsonL011-110.26102—14:28
5A. SekeraD000010.01120—13:22
34D. GurianovR000010.05100—12:19
47A. RadulovR101+120.40002—12:11
18M. RafflL000010.02302—12:02
40J. PetersonC000010.0301010011:49
44J. HanleyD000010.01220—10:14
43M. StudenicR011+100.14000—08:56
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)38362.9472.97+0.9760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).