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Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Carrick's goal at 8:14 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 24, MTL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (2 G), 2. Troy Terry (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jake Evans (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Zegras2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Evans2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA3925010524
MTLMTL016212212440

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:14
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(6)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    15:12
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(24)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    17:06

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    1:15
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    1:25
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    9:54
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    14:04

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    1:24
  2. MTL
    L. Dauphin(2)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    5-4
    14:02

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:55ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Rem Pitlick2 min
  • 13:17MTLLaurent Dauphin · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Getzlaf4 min

2nd

  • 9:26ANASam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

3rd

  • 3:14MTLRem Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 8:14MTLChris Wideman · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 14:02ANAHampus Lindholm · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Laurent Dauphin0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalANA goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Carrick, 1st 8:14 — ANA 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Dauphin · Goal · xG 0.22N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.19T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.14J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.14J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.14M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.06J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01L. Vejdemo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 2.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMTL
1.65 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA26%74%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
40
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD112020.06020—22:41
47H. LindholmD000000.00010—21:19
34J. DrysdaleD011010.04000—21:02
46T. ZegrasC202040.281105320:35
22K. ShattenkirkD022+120.05120—20:12
67R. RakellR000+130.3011010018:47
42J. MansonD000010.09100—18:13
19T. TerryR123+130.30000—17:42
33J. SilfverbergR011-130.05000—16:51
21I. LundestromC000000.000002916:25
44M. ComtoisL000020.05200—16:19
14A. HenriqueC000-110.090003816:12
28V. LettieriC000010.09000015:49
23S. SteelC011+100.0421010014:47
39S. CarrickC101+110.151023314:06
86S. BenoitD011+100.00310—12:15
53B. RobinsonR011+100.00200—11:57
15R. GetzlafC000000.000025002:20
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)40364.9002.90-1.1060:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).