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Stars at Devils
NHL

Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
New Jersey Devils
1
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jacob Peterson's goal at 9:45 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals were close — DAL 3.0, NJD 3.0; shots on goal were DAL 32, NJD 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Jon Gillies stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (2 G, 2 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Suter.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Suter

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL37115110532
NJDNJD09112016137

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(18)
    J. Robertson (23)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:14
  2. DAL
    J. Peterson(8)
    A. Radulov (13), J. Kiviranta (3)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:45
  3. DAL
    J. Pavelski(19)
    M. Heiskanen (21), R. Hintz (17)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    16:48

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(19)
    J. Pavelski (28)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    0:15
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(14)PPG
    J. Hughes (14), D. Severson (14)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    12:16

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Hakanpää(2)EN
    J. Pavelski (29)
    wristxG 0.58
    5-1
    17:35

Penalties

DAL 13 PIM·NJD 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:31DALRiley Damiani · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 12:12DALAndrej Sekera · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 12:12NJDNathan Bastian · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Andrej Sekera2 min

2nd

  • 11:33DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 18:44DALLuke Glendening · Fightingdrawn by Michael McLeod5 min
  • 18:44NJDMichael McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Luke Glendening5 min

3rd

  • 12:41NJDAndreas Johnsson · High stickingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 18:20DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDAL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Jacob Peterson, 1st 9:45 — DAL 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.22J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.16D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.10D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.09R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 3.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNJD
3.04 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.94 G
Even strength
0 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL40%60%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNJD
32
Shots on goal
37
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
19
21
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+410.05140—25:59
20R. SuterD000+410.12230—24:39
23E. LindellD000+120.03220—22:08
2J. HakanpääD101+120.61530—21:20
16J. PavelskiC224+440.260004319:01
21J. RobertsonL011+420.41110—18:48
91T. SeguinC000020.040028318:34
24R. HintzC112+430.191004416:47
14J. BennL000050.463125616:34
40J. PetersonC101+110.160005015:26
34D. GurianovR000040.25000—14:43
47A. RadulovR011+100.0001010013:31
25J. KivirantaL011+120.17210—13:01
5A. SekeraD000010.02012—12:18
44J. HanleyD000000.00040—12:06
64T. KeroC000000.0000010011:04
13R. DamianiC000000.001026709:33
11L. GlendeningC000020.203055008:05
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)37361.9732.95+1.9560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).