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Lightning at Ducks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV BSW, BSSUN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Shattenkirk's goal at 19:53 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 67% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were TBL 33, ANA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.2 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 3.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Grant (2 G), 2. John Gibson (32 saves, .970), 3. Hampus Lindholm (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    D. Grant2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL07016110133
ANAANA21811027535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(5)
    I. Lundestrom (11), H. Lindholm (11)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:54
  2. ANA
    K. Shattenkirk(7)
    G. Pateryn (1), S. Carrick (3)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    19:53

2nd period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(6)PPG
    V. Lettieri (3), J. Drysdale (15)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    7:05

3rd period

  1. ANA
    V. Lettieri(4)
    S. Steel (6), J. Larsson (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:27
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(6)
    M. Sergachev (18), A. Cirelli (14)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    5:25
  3. ANA
    N. Deslauriers(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    12:23

Penalties

TBL 17 PIM·ANA 19 PIM

1st

  • 0:13TBLNikita Kucherov · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 17:41ANAGreg Pateryn · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

2nd

  • 3:05ANASam Steel · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 4:52TBLAlex Killorn · Roughingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 6:58TBLAndrej Sustr · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 15:29ANAVinni Lettieri · Holdingdrawn by Cal Foote2 min
  • 16:15TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 16:58ANAJamie Drysdale · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min

3rd

  • 3:22ANASam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 7:24ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 11:03ANASam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 15:13TBLAndrej Sustr · Hookingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 19:41TBLCal Foote · Cross checkingdrawn by Buddy Robinson2 min
  • 19:41TBLCal Foote · Fightingdrawn by Buddy Robinson5 min
  • 19:41ANABuddy Robinson · Fightingdrawn by Cal Foote5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalTBL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Shattenkirk, 1st 19:53 — ANA 67% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Deslauriers · Goal · xG 0.53M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.23K. Shattenkirk · Goal · xG 0.21T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.18T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.17T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.13S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.13I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.11T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.08D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Lettieri · Goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsANA
4.91 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
2.60 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL79%21%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.85 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsANA
33
Shots on goal
35
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/7
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
19
16
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011030.20510—25:22
77V. HedmanD000-200.00100—23:28
27R. McDonaghD000-200.00030—22:05
86N. KucherovR000-340.77202—21:19
21B. PointC000-241.010007920:46
52C. FooteD000-130.10137—18:08
71A. CirelliC011010.050002717:48
91S. StamkosC000-161.001003317:07
17A. KillornL000-120.42004—16:57
10C. PerryR000-200.47100—15:12
41P. BellemareL000-110.070105514:14
79R. ColtonC101040.410108313:53
7M. JosephR000020.14010—13:23
14P. MaroonL000-110.01100—12:44
16T. RaddyshR000000.16010—11:29
3F. ClaessonD000010.03100—11:08
13B. KatchoukL000010.04300—09:00
29A. SustrD000000.00014—08:12
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)34304.8822.76-1.2459:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).