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Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Barclay Goodrow's goal at 3:49 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.3, NYR 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 34, NYR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM06114014134
NYRNYR11111225428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:25

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:49
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:00

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(20)PPG
    A. Fox (29)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    3:32
  2. NYR
    B. Goodrow (9), A. Fox (30)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:11

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:15EDMMikko Koskinen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 6:26EDMSlater Koekkoek · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 6:57NYRKaapo Kakko · Hookingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min

3rd

  • 2:20EDMRyan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Greg McKegg2 min
  • 8:05EDMKailer Yamamoto · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 9:43NYRJacob Trouba · High stickingdrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min
  • 17:20EDMWarren Foegele · High stickingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalEDM goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Barclay Goodrow, 2nd 3:49 — NYR 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.10K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.08K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.05G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNYR
2.31 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
28
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
29
3
Blocked shots
22
3
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-120.14300—26:37
75E. BouchardD000-110.03200—23:25
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.120007220:30
18Z. HymanL000-110.1810010020:19
22T. BarrieD000-140.15000—19:48
2D. KeithD000020.07010—19:03
97C. McDavidC000070.560004718:59
56K. YamamotoR000-100.13002—18:17
5C. CeciD000000.01000—17:18
37W. FoegeleL000-220.1000210014:50
13J. PuljujarviR000-140.21000—14:28
16T. BensonL011+100.00110—13:38
71R. McLeodC101030.380025013:32
20S. KoekkoekD000-120.03112—12:40
8K. TurrisC011+130.1010010011:23
14D. ShoreC000000.003004310:59
70C. SceviourC000-110.16000007:37
10D. RyanC000-100.0000010007:25
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)28244.8572.31-1.6960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).