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Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Lewis's goal at 17:46 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 64% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 42, CHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jacob Markstrom (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY16226210542
CHICHI11109011131

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:41
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:13

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    9:08
  2. CGY
    T. Lewis(3)SHG
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    3-1
    17:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.63
    4-1
    18:05
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.07
    5-1
    18:34

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:39CGYDillon Dube · Holding the stickdrawn by Henrik Borgstrom2 min

2nd

  • 8:21CHIAlex DeBrincat · Hookingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 9:29CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 12:59CHIJosiah Slavin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:57CGYNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

3rd

  • 12:14CHIKirby Dach · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Dillon Dube0 min
  • 19:12CGYSean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Lewis, 2nd 17:46 — CGY 64% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.23H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.16K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.14J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.14D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.05H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.02H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
4.04 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY67%33%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
42
Shots on goal
31
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011+140.16230—21:18
8C. TanevD000+210.03210—21:06
28E. LindholmC101+220.111106520:37
58O. KylingtonD101+220.69010—20:26
55N. HanifinD011+140.11000—19:59
13J. GaudreauL123+230.28100—19:25
44E. GudbransonD000000.03330—18:23
19M. TkachukL112+270.82210—18:12
11M. BacklundC011+130.302105516:28
16N. ZadorovD000020.04022—16:06
23S. MonahanC011020.091126914:26
22T. LewisC101+110.105205014:20
88A. MangiapaneL000020.21000—14:10
20B. ColemanL011+140.29210—13:57
17M. LucicL011010.1420010012:59
18T. PitlickC000010.04900012:21
15B. RichardsonR000000.00200—10:21
29D. DubeC000-130.530025009:52
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)31301.9682.31+1.3160:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).