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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSCH, SNW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 9:42 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 24, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (31 saves, .969), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Lowry.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    M. Fleury31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI081828324
WPGWPG01109112132

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    K. Dach (11), J. McCabe (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:21

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.20win prob +28 pts
    1-1
    6:17
  2. CHI
    K. Dach (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +32 pts
    2-1
    9:42
  3. CHI
    B. Hagel(14)EN
    P. Kane (34), M. Fleury (1)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:04

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:08CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 3:33WPGDominic Toninato · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 3rd 9:42 — CHI 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.31P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.29M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.20A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.19B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.18P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14K. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01K. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG1 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
2.82 G
All situations
1 G3.2
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI28%72%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
24
Shots on goal
32
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000+120.17130—27:23
5C. MurphyD000+110.02122—25:34
88P. KaneR112+320.22000—20:19
12A. DeBrincatR101+240.15000—20:13
44C. de HaanD000+210.00520—20:01
6J. McCabeD011+110.03020—18:12
77K. DachC022+220.211002517:05
36J. SlavinL000020.171005016:38
8D. KubalikL000010.16100—16:34
38B. HagelL101+121.03000—16:33
17D. StromeC000+100.120103016:07
24S. LaffertyC000040.311206015:23
56E. GustafssonD000010.12110—14:09
82C. JonesD000-100.00100—13:58
22R. CarpenterC000-100.003102212:46
58M. EntwistleR000-100.004005011:51
20B. ConnollyR000-110.06000—09:35
13H. BorgstromC000000.0000010005:54
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)32311.9693.17+2.1759:45

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).