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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, TSN3·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jansen Harkins's goal at 11:13 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.3 to 3.4; shots on goal were WPG 32, CHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jansen Harkins (2 G), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Harkins2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11041319632
CHICHI07217212436

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:14

2nd period

  1. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:13
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.27win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:36
  3. WPG
    D. DeMelo (9), A. Copp (20)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:15
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    11:13
  5. WPG
    K. Connor(39)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    17:36
  6. WPG
    slapxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    19:36

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (52), D. Strome (18)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    3:25
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    5-4
    13:00
  3. WPG
    K. Connor (38), A. Copp (22)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    6-4
    18:51

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 16:49CHISam Lafferty · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 2:38WPGJeff Malott · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 3:35CHICaleb Jones · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 5:02WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min
  • 5:02CHIBoris Katchouk · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalWPG goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jansen Harkins, 2nd 11:13 — WPG 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.41D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.27M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.25A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.22T. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.18D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.17A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.17T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.16D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.15B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.14T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.14J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.12D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.11S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.10S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.05M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.05B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 4.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCHI
3.45 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.04 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG23%77%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 4.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCHI
32
Shots on goal
36
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD101+450.25120—25:30
2D. DeMeloD011+310.02210—22:25
26B. WheelerR112+161.52100—21:42
81K. ConnorL134+210.09110—21:29
55M. ScheifeleC022010.340005021:06
88N. SchmidtD011000.03020—19:23
25P. StastnyC000-130.320007318:50
80P. DuboisC000000.002226718:42
27N. EhlersL101030.25010—18:14
4N. PionkD000-100.01410—18:07
9A. CoppC033+220.131106017:03
5B. DillonD000-100.02220—16:16
64L. StanleyD000-110.03330—16:05
12J. HarkinsC202+150.24100015:52
71E. SvechnikovL011+120.13100—15:10
21D. ToninatoC000000.00010004:39
77A. BrooksC000020.02000004:07
39J. MalottL000000.00302—04:06
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)36324.8894.30+0.3060:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).