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Montréal Canadiens at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Petry's goal at 19:29 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 23, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Petry (2 G), 2. Ryan Poehling (1 G), 3. Barclay Goodrow (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Petry2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    R. Poehling1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Goodrow2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1615212423
NYRNYR01011027327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:45

2nd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:14
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    19:51

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:15
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    12:08
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(21)SHG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    15:41
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +50 pts
    4-3
    19:29

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:25MTLJordan Harris · High stickingdrawn by Zac Jones2 min

2nd

  • 5:05MTLNick Suzuki · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 5:12NYRJulien Gauthier · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

3rd

  • 8:22MTLJoel Edmundson · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 14:27NYRKevin Rooney · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMTL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Petry, 3rd 19:29 — MTL 48% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.22J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.20F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.13G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.13J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.12F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.06J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.05K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYR
2.24 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL43%57%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
16
24
Giveaways
34
19
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD202030.13010—21:52
44J. EdmundsonD011010.02252—21:07
27A. RomanovD000-100.01210—20:25
58D. SavardD000000.03000—20:25
14N. SuzukiC011-110.111028017:45
32R. PitlickC000+130.35000017:17
84W. LagessonD011+210.01020—17:17
54J. HarrisD000+210.09102—17:08
17J. AndersonR011+100.0010010016:40
68M. HoffmanC101-110.06000016:16
22C. CaufieldR000020.17000—15:37
28C. DvorakC022+100.300003115:18
71J. EvansC000010.011002914:24
25R. PoehlingC101+150.610105613:56
45L. DauphinC000+110.03100013:01
24T. PitlickC000-100.00010012:38
11B. GallagherR000-110.20100—12:27
55M. PezzettaL011+120.10100—10:27
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)27243.8892.52-0.4860:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).