Skip to content

Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV BSW, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesperi Kotkaniemi's goal at 0:37 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals were close — LAK 3.0, CAR 3.1; shots on goal were LAK 33, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Fast (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brady Skjei (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Fast1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01311307133
CARCAR211210112533

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei (5), J. Fast (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:37
  2. CAR
    J. Fast(7)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    1:36

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:38
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    9:36
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    15:33

3rd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.13
    1-5
    14:29

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:37LAKserved by B. Lemieux · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 7:13CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 10:34LAKSean Durzi · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 0:13LAKViktor Arvidsson · Slashingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 6:10CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 9:05LAKBlake Lizotte · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

3rd

  • 1:22CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:12LAKPhillip Danault · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalLAK goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jesperi Kotkaniemi, 1st 0:37 — CAR 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.20B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.20J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.19C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.17N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.14J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.12J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.11S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.11A. Poturalski · Missed · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.08J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.07D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Poturalski · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Poturalski · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.03B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCAR
3.01 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCAR
33
Shots on goal
33
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD000030.12002—22:10
3M. RoyD000-140.06110—21:36
6O. MaattaD000-100.00050—20:47
11A. KopitarC000000.241005019:06
7T. BjornfotD011010.04100—18:23
46B. LizotteC101020.671023616:45
48B. LemieuxL000+110.087002516:29
9A. KempeR000060.70000—16:27
86C. WolaninD000-110.05010—15:58
19A. IafalloL000-110.08000—15:53
44M. AndersonD000-110.03220—15:37
23D. BrownR000010.13100—14:39
34A. KaliyevR000+150.22100—14:02
33V. ArvidssonL000-230.17312—13:29
12T. MooreL000-210.10100—13:20
24P. DanaultC000-110.121123313:05
89R. KupariC000-100.060005612:46
91C. GrundstromR000-120.14300—12:02
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)33285.8483.12-1.8859:56

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).