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Hurricanes at Kings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings

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Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Los Angeles Kings
4
FinalTV BSW, BSSO·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-4. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 19:26 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 20, LAK 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.7 goals below expected; Cal Petersen stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alexander Edler (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Edler2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR2731102520
LAKLAK213210020443

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(4)
    S. Aho (10), T. DeAngelo (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:00
  2. LAK
    B. Lizotte(1)
    B. Lemieux (1), A. Edler (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:38
  3. CAR
    D. Stepan(3)
    J. Martinook (4), B. Skjei (3)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    4:48
  4. LAK
    A. Kempe(6)
    A. Edler (6), A. Kopitar (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    12:39

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(8)
    A. Svechnikov (12), F. Andersen (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    6:16
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(7)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    9:33
  3. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(3)
    D. Stepan (2), J. Slavin (9)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    4-3
    11:20
  4. LAK
    B. Lemieux(3)
    M. Roy (4)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +22 pts
    4-4
    18:00
  5. CAR
    M. Necas(4)
    N. Niederreiter (1), J. Staal (5)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +24 pts
    5-4
    19:26

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:47CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 14:44LAKArthur Kaliyev · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 19:40CARJordan Martinook · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 8:58LAKAlex Iafallo · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:13CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

3rd

  • 8:51CAREthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCAR goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 19:26 — CAR 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lemieux · Goal · xG 0.41A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.20A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.19B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.10B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.00A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.3 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsLAK
1.95 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.85 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR26%74%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
43
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+200.00320—24:32
22B. PesceD000+110.01010—23:05
76B. SkjeiD011+110.03310—19:42
11J. StaalC011020.061003119:10
28I. ColeD000-100.00500—18:53
20S. AhoC112+120.241104318:18
16V. TrocheckC000-200.204004417:44
88M. NecasC101030.4220010017:13
37A. SvechnikovR011+130.35004—17:05
86T. TeravainenC000-200.02000016:13
25E. BearD000+100.00112—15:58
24S. JarvisR101+230.22200—15:32
77T. DeAngeloD011-120.03110—14:56
71J. FastR000000.04200—14:27
21N. NiederreiterR011+110.13310—14:03
82J. KotkaniemiC101+110.062106008:36
48J. MartinookL011000.00102—08:25
18D. StepanC112010.10010008:08
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)43394.9073.33-0.6760:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).