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Utah Mammoth at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV BSAZ, SNW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Winnipeg Jets 1-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Antoine Roussel's goal at 17:59 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were ARI 15, WPG 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 46 of 46 (1.000), 3.8 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (46 saves, 1.000), 2. Blake Wheeler, 3. Loui Eriksson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka46 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Eriksson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI071503115
WPGWPG017015014046

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +23 pts
    1-0
    17:59

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:18WPGDylan DeMelo · Hookingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

2nd

  • 5:53ARIAndrew Ladd · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

3rd

  • 5:10ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 7:11ARITravis Boyd · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 14:52ARIKyle Capobianco · High sticking double minordrawn by Blake Wheeler4 min
  • 19:52ARIAnton Stralman · Interferencedrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalARI goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Antoine Roussel, 2nd 17:59 — ARI 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.32A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.32A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.25P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.23P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.20B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01K. Vesalainen · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG0 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsWPG
1.11 G
All situations
0 G3.8
1.01 G
Even strength
0 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI11%89%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.10 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsWPG
15
Shots on goal
46
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
6
13
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000+110.14020—23:58
61D. MayoD000010.02310—21:59
46I. LyubushkinD011010.01220—20:53
9C. KellerR000010.01002—20:23
86A. StralmanD000000.00102—19:00
67L. CrouseL000020.10010—17:53
14S. GostisbehereD000010.02100—17:53
72T. BoydC000000.171224617:28
36C. FischerR000020.11210—16:49
81P. KesselR000010.02010—16:14
75K. CapobiancoD000+100.04014—15:35
29B. HaytonC000000.002105014:11
21L. ErikssonL011+110.06000—14:01
10R. DzingelC000+110.000102513:24
26A. RousselL101+120.3612010012:28
17A. GalchenyukC000000.000105010:07
16A. LaddL000000.00102—09:22
38L. O'BrienC000010.04100008:14
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)464601.0003.75+3.7560:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).