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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 6:59 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 34, WPG 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (32 saves, .941), 3. Josh Morrissey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM09011214234
WPGWPG11231419535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:09

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(4)
    A. Copp (11), J. Morrissey (4)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    6:59
  2. WPG
    P. Dubois(9)PPG
    J. Morrissey (5), N. Schmidt (10)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    10:01
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(2)
    L. Stanley (5), D. DeMelo (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    19:22

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(16)PPG
    C. McDavid (18), D. Nurse (11)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    2:32
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(17)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (18), C. McDavid (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    3:48
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(12)EN
    B. Wheeler (5)
    wristxG 0.56
    2-5
    18:23

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

2nd

  • 1:43EDMKyle Turris · Trippingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 3:23WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 7:15EDMLeon Draisaitl · High sticking double minordrawn by Jansen Harkins4 min
  • 12:19WPGJosh Morrissey · Holding the stickdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

3rd

  • 1:19WPGAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 2:26WPGLogan Stanley · Boardingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 12:15EDMConnor McDavid · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 6:59 — WPG 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.56M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG5 G · 3.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
2.52 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.92 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
34
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011-140.12400—27:53
29L. DraisaitlC202-140.481146225:37
97C. McDavidC022-130.260028224:08
22T. BarrieD000050.30100—22:43
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011000.280005022:11
75E. BouchardD000-350.11110—21:07
18Z. HymanL000030.22000—19:21
13J. PuljujarviR000-160.32000—19:14
2D. KeithD000-200.00000—18:06
56K. YamamotoR000-110.05300—15:09
5C. CeciD000-100.00140—14:54
37W. FoegeleL000-100.09010—12:18
44Z. KassianR000-210.04100—11:11
20S. KoekkoekD000-110.01210—10:15
71R. McLeodC000-100.090004210:13
10D. RyanC000-200.000101708:52
8K. TurrisC000-100.0000210006:19
42B. PerliniL000-210.10000—05:32
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)26224.8462.22-1.7839:09
74S. Skinner8801.0000.65+0.6519:02

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).