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Islanders at Panthers
NHL

New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 14:40 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYI 28, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0121907128
FLAFLA41711217636

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(5)
    A. Duclair (6), A. Barkov (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    6:58
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(1)
    P. Hornqvist (6), B. Montour (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:40
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(4)
    S. Bennett (4), B. Montour (7)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:04
  4. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    18:13

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(5)
    M. Weegar (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    13:41
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(1)
    K. Bellows (1), N. Dobson (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    15:00

3rd period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(4)
    O. Tippett (6)
    snapxG 0.10
    1-6
    16:36

Penalties

NYI 46 PIM·FLA 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:34FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min

2nd

  • 1:47NYIScott Mayfield · Kneeingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov5 min
  • 1:47NYIScott Mayfield · Game misconduct10 min
  • 3:04FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 17:04NYIKyle Palmieri · Cross checkingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

3rd

  • 1:00FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri5 min
  • 1:00NYIKyle Palmieri · Instigatordrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 1:00NYIKyle Palmieri · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 1:00NYIKyle Palmieri · Instigator misconductdrawn by Radko Gudas10 min
  • 14:00NYIMatt Martin · Misconductdrawn by Radko Gudas10 min
  • 19:45NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 1st 14:40 — FLA 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.21E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsFLA
1.61 G
All situations
6 G2.8
1.51 G
Even strength
6 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI29%71%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/5
46
Penalty minutes
9
42
Hits
26
5
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
26
12
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000-200.00302—23:59
8N. DobsonD011040.10100—22:55
33Z. CharaD000-230.05400—22:11
25S. AhoD000-210.04010—20:28
4A. GreeneD000-210.01120—19:44
18A. BeauvillierR000010.03200—17:20
27A. LeeL000-140.280006716:36
44J. PageauC000020.160006016:07
29B. NelsonC000+130.230005715:52
11Z. PariseL000-200.00400—15:13
20K. BellowsL011+100.00510—14:29
15C. ClutterbuckR000-410.08400—14:15
26O. WahlstromR000010.13600—14:15
13M. BarzalC000-210.071004314:11
53C. CizikasC000-420.150003814:05
21K. PalmieriC101-130.241119011:10
17M. MartinL000-310.029010—09:45
24S. MayfieldD000-200.001015—08:30
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov19172.8951.44-0.5640:00
30I. Sorokin(L)17134.7651.32-2.6819:40

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).