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Islanders at Panthers
NHL

New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

FinalTV MSG+, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 5-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 3:48 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 30, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (3 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (29 saves, .967), 3. Anthony Duclair (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bennett3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Duclair1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI08012110130
FLAFLA1627216529

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:10

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:48
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    18:57

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    3:30
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:39
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.14
    1-5
    12:22

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 16:13FLAAleksander Barkov · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 4:56NYILeo Komarov · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 8:06FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 8:06FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 8:06NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 10:40FLASam Reinhart · Delaying game2 min

3rd

  • 3:20FLARadko Gudas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:35NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 7:35FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 2nd 3:48 — FLA 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.18P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kiersted · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kiersted · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA5 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsFLA
1.91 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.10 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI40%60%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
12
28
Hits
34
23
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18A. BeauvillierR000-350.16110—20:56
6R. PulockD000-220.13110—20:55
8N. DobsonD000-210.07240—20:34
24S. MayfieldD000-110.12130—19:54
29B. NelsonC000-300.001306218:59
3A. PelechD000000.00330—18:41
12J. BaileyR000-310.08010—18:03
33Z. CharaD000-420.02320—17:24
13M. BarzalC000-120.240003816:56
21K. PalmieriC000-130.17000016:32
4A. GreeneD000-100.02330—16:02
27A. LeeL000-110.060125014:48
11Z. PariseL000010.07110—14:01
44J. PageauC000060.230006513:58
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.0340010012:48
26O. WahlstromR101-140.34002—12:32
53C. CizikasC000-110.115003811:59
47L. KomarovR000000.0030210010:50
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)29245.8282.40-2.6060:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).