San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 4:18 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were SJS 26, CGY 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Adin Hill (37 saves, .974), 2. Brent Burns (2 A), 3. Milan Lucic (1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-00:47
1-11:17
3rd period
2-14:18
3-118:57
4-119:19
Penalties
1st
- 1:43
Erik Gudbranson · Holdingdrawn by Nick Merkley2 min
- 18:35
Chris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
2nd
- 1:17
served by N. Merkley · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 5:30
Andrew Cogliano · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
- 15:47
Jaycob Megna · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 4:18 — 48% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.8
- 1.92 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.8
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.69
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 17
- Hits
- 16
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 9
- Giveaways
- 10
- 9
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






