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Flames at Sharks
NHL

Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
San Jose Sharks
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 18:10 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 43, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 40 of 43 (.930). Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (3 G), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adin Hill (40 saves, .930).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl3 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Hill40 saves, .930

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY212116015343
SJSSJS1831415527

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(3)
    M. Lucic (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:37
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(10)PPG
    A. Barabanov (9), B. Burns (12)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    8:58
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(10)
    M. Tkachuk (11), E. Lindholm (15)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:55

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Ruzicka(1)
    C. Tanev (6), B. Richardson (2)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:31
  2. SJS
    E. Karlsson(7)
    L. Couture (14), J. Weatherby (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    10:08
  3. SJS
    L. Couture(8)PPG
    E. Karlsson (9), J. Dahlen (5)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    14:27
  4. SJS
    T. Hertl(11)
    A. Barabanov (10)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    18:10

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(12)EN
    L. Couture (15), B. Burns (13)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:18

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:06CGYErik Gudbranson · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min

2nd

  • 1:20SJSJonathan Dahlen · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 7:56SJSErik Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:16CGYNikita Zadorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Jasper Weatherby2 min

3rd

  • 9:32SJSNicolas Meloche · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 2nd 18:10 — SJS 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.58T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.23T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.19J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.14E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.13N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.12L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.12J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.10L. Pederson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.06M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
3.43 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY68%32%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
43
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
2
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000010.04240—22:52
55N. HanifinD000-140.27120—21:56
8C. TanevD011+120.05010—21:35
23S. MonahanC000-140.492006919:44
58O. KylingtonD000+110.12110—19:42
28E. LindholmC011040.390006418:01
11M. BacklundC000-130.100205017:57
13J. GaudreauL101-150.28000—17:53
17M. LucicL011+100.11700—17:49
19M. TkachukL011030.38010—17:48
88A. MangiapaneL000-120.3410010017:28
16N. ZadorovD000010.03212—16:03
29D. DubeC101020.21100015:45
44E. GudbransonD000-120.06022—14:21
20B. ColemanL000030.02210—14:14
63A. RuzickaC101+130.351004309:08
15B. RichardsonR011020.02300—08:58
22T. LewisC000+110.11010008:39
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)26224.8462.24-1.7659:04

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).