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Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV BSSW+, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-4 in overtime, Jason Robertson scoring at 4:30. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 4:30 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 50, CHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.9 goals below expected; Collin Delia stopped 45 of 50 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Collin Delia (45 saves, .900), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Delia45 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL11411621713550
CHICHI25151805423

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:53
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    1:22
  3. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:30

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    16:28
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    19:58

3rd period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    8:18
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    10:24
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    12:18

Overtime

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    4:30

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:47DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 19:54CHIVinnie Hinostroza · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

3rd

  • 2:31CHIWyatt Kalynuk · Holding the stickdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 4:55DALJustin Dowling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:52CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 19:39DALRadek Faksa · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor Murphy4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, OT 4:30 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.14V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.09D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.05M. Hardman · Missed · xG 0.04W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · Missed · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.00M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
3.95 G
All situations
4 G2.1
3.24 G
Even strength
4 G1.1
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL77%23%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
50
Shots on goal
23
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
35
13
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
11
13
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD112-250.22000—25:40
23E. LindellD000-220.04340—25:07
2J. OleksiakD000030.15310—22:50
3J. KlingbergD033+250.11310—22:25
21J. RobertsonL112-130.42200—20:54
14J. BennL022+220.121006119:10
18J. DickinsonC101030.422103318:45
16J. PavelskiC101030.330006717:44
15B. ComeauL000030.411002017:12
5A. SekeraD000020.08430—16:58
12R. FaksaC000-210.013066015:59
34D. GurianovR011-130.30200—15:20
11A. CoglianoC000030.29110014:04
25J. KivirantaL101+120.22710—13:37
44J. HanleyD011+110.03210—13:31
64T. KeroC000030.29000011:14
13M. PysykD000060.38100—10:20
37J. DowlingC000000.0210210009:22
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)23194.8262.05-1.9563:35

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).