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Stars at Blackhawks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Chicago Blackhawks
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, BSSW+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 9:39 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 27, CHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrew Cogliano (1 G), 3. Kirby Dach (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Cogliano1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    K. Dach1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0901028227
CHICHI11021117428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    K. Dach(1)
    P. Kane (37), C. Murphy (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:13

2nd period

  1. CHI
    D. Kubalik(13)
    V. Hinostroza (1), A. Boqvist (13)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    9:39
  2. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(20)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:05

3rd period

  1. DAL
    A. Cogliano(5)SHG
    B. Comeau (9)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    1:29
  2. DAL
    R. Faksa(5)
    E. Lindell (6), B. Comeau (10)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    13:46
  3. CHI
    P. Kane(14)EN
    A. DeBrincat (18), D. Kampf (9)
    backhandxG 0.94win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:53

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:12DALJamie Oleksiak · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 5:31DALJason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 9:58CHINikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 13:44CHICalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

3rd

  • 0:15DALJamie Oleksiak · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 2nd 9:39 — CHI 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.94P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.19D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.17N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.17D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.13D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.03A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 3.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
2.42 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL50%50%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
27
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
41
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-210.03320—24:13
23E. LindellD011+120.05120—24:09
3J. KlingbergD000-310.06110—22:23
24R. HintzC000010.283005519:04
16J. PavelskiC000-150.302201018:57
21J. RobertsonL000-120.27102—18:00
2J. OleksiakD000-100.00534—17:56
5A. SekeraD000-100.00330—17:27
12R. FaksaC101040.340104717:07
14J. BennL000-100.043007517:07
15B. ComeauL022-110.031102516:11
11A. CoglianoC101030.37500014:09
13M. PysykD000+200.02100—13:05
34D. GurianovR000030.28200—12:54
49R. GardnerC000-110.224106412:39
37J. DowlingC000-110.041005011:26
10T. DellandreaC000-100.00400009:36
64T. KeroC000-120.06100009:02
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)27243.8892.35-0.6558:35

Season series

CHI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).