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Sabres at Penguins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
0
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸1
FinalTV NBC, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 1-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 1:58 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were BUF 29, PIT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Michael Houser stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Maxime Lagace stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Maxime Lagace (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Jeff Carter (1 G), 3. Michael Houser (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    M. Lagace29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Carter1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    M. Houser22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01101305029
PITPIT0316014123

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(17)
    F. Gaudreau (8)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:58

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:43BUFMattias Samuelsson · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 10:17PITJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

3rd

  • 15:22BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 2nd 1:58 — PIT 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.28T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.26J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT1 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
2.00 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF57%43%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 1.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
29
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000020.08200—24:18
10H. JokiharjuD000-100.07230—21:02
96A. BjorkL000-120.17100—20:17
23S. ReinhartC000-110.080004019:56
78J. BrysonD000000.00200—18:35
68V. OlofssonL000020.23000—18:30
54M. SamuelssonD000020.03512—18:28
55R. RistolainenD000010.03322—18:21
33C. MillerD000-130.08310—18:07
37C. MittelstadtC000010.210005017:52
74R. AsplundC000020.09100015:31
72T. ThompsonC000020.06000015:20
15R. SheahanC000030.060005013:55
91D. CaggiulaL000-120.26100—13:48
53J. SkinnerL000020.07100—12:40
24D. CozensC000010.1300010011:37
57B. MurrayL000000.00210—10:05
25A. RuotsalainenC000030.32000009:36
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32M. Houser(L)23221.9571.65+0.6558:02

Season series

PIT leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).