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Sabres at Penguins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
0
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG-B·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radim Zohorna's goal at 17:21 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were BUF 36, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Dustin Tokarski stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.0 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 3.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (36 saves, 1.000), 2. Sidney Crosby (3 A), 3. Jared McCann (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith36 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby3 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. McCann2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01505016036
PITPIT11219210431

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. Zohorna(1)
    A. Angello (1), F. Gaudreau (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:21

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann(6)PPG
    K. Letang (18), S. Crosby (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    1:27

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann(7)PPG
    K. Letang (19), S. Crosby (23)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    8:56
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(14)EN
    B. Rust (14), S. Crosby (24)
    wristxG 0.45
    0-4
    18:54

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:06PITZachary Aston-Reese · Slashingdrawn by Steven Fogarty2 min

2nd

  • 0:14BUFDylan Cozens · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 2:26PITAnthony Angello · Trippingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 5:32BUFJacob Bryson · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 17:03PITSidney Crosby · High stickingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

3rd

  • 8:49BUFRiley Sheahan · Holding the stickdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 10:47BUFSteven Fogarty · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 13:59PITMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Radim Zohorna, 1st 17:21 — PIT 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.53J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.45J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.42J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.15M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10R. Zohorna · Goal · xG 0.10J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.10J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.08R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Angello · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
3.70 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF73%27%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
36
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-250.35020—23:29
55R. RistolainenD000040.07300—22:03
4T. HallL000020.12200—21:54
23S. ReinhartC000050.94010021:37
12E. StaalC000041.192005319:14
33C. MillerD000000.00430—18:32
78J. BrysonD000020.12042—18:04
62B. MontourD000010.03420—17:49
37C. MittelstadtC000-210.010007516:25
68V. OlofssonL000-140.22200—15:24
15R. SheahanC000-110.021123315:11
10H. JokiharjuD000-210.01100—14:57
24D. CozensC000010.21112014:41
27C. LazarC000-120.123001714:03
53J. SkinnerL000-220.12000—12:49
20C. EakinC000010.143005011:04
17S. FogartyC000000.00112010:36
49C. SmithL000000.00300—07:57
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Tokarski(L)30273.9002.00-1.0058:37

Season series

PIT leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).