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New York Rangers at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBC, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Boston Bruins 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 7:26 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYR 23, BOS 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Tuukka Rask stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (2 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (3 A), 3. Adam Fox.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0715411523
BOSBOS09119311439

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    6:21
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    18:12

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    0:21
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    5:22
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    3-2
    7:26
  4. NYR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    9:36
  5. BOS
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    4-3
    14:08
  6. NYR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:07
  7. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    5-4
    18:39

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·BOS 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:54BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 19:32NYRMorgan Barron · Kneeingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 14:04NYRMika Zibanejad · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 13:17NYRAnthony Bitetto · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 7:26 — NYR 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.15T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.12S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.10D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.03T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 2.7 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBOS
1.65 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.45 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR31%69%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
4
14
Giveaways
9
14
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000+110.03040—24:49
79K. MillerD101+110.02120—22:35
89P. BuchnevichL033+240.39030—20:47
93M. ZibanejadC202+260.562124119:21
25L. HajekD000+100.00220—18:43
43C. BlackwellC000000.15200017:52
22A. BitettoD011010.01002—17:46
6Z. JonesD011000.00100—17:34
16R. StromeC022000.010003117:27
74V. KravtsovR101-110.07020—16:47
51T. ReunanenD000+130.03120—16:31
13A. LafrenièreL101+120.10000—16:05
17K. RooneyC000010.052205013:45
47M. BarronC000+100.002026712:50
33P. Di GiuseppeL000000.00100—11:54
72F. ChytilC011+110.070007310:14
90J. RichardsC011+120.12210010:11
26T. GettingerL000-100.0010010009:58
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
71K. Kinkaid30282.9332.16+0.1648:50
31I. Shesterkin(W)972.7780.50-1.5011:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).