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Golden Knights at Coyotes
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Bunting's goal at 1:30 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 25, ARI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adin Hill (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Michael Bunting (1 G), 3. John Hayden (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Hill25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    M. Bunting1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Hayden1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0110608025
ARIARI19011212332

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:13

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    1:30
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.94
    0-3
    17:23

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:04VGKMax Pacioretty · Interferencedrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

2nd

  • 4:49VGKWilliam Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min
  • 5:15ARIJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

3rd

  • 2:01ARIDerick Brassard · Hookingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVGK goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Bunting, 3rd 1:30 — ARI 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.94C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.25J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.20M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.19J. Hayden · Goal · xG 0.17N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.17D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.16C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.13C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.11L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 3.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsARI
2.20 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK40%60%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsARI
25
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
46
11
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-120.07000—25:25
61M. StoneR000-200.1212010022:32
20C. StephensonC000-100.001005321:44
7A. PietrangeloD000-220.18010—21:26
67M. PaciorettyL000-120.1800210020:27
23A. MartinezD000-220.07010—19:29
26M. JanmarkC000000.040003317:52
89A. TuchR000040.2610010017:28
14N. HagueD000030.18010—17:26
3B. McNabbD000000.02320—17:23
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.01430—17:21
71W. KarlssonC000040.450004716:29
19R. SmithR000-120.16100—16:28
55K. KolesarR000-210.065101514:14
28W. CarrierL000-220.36502—11:38
13T. JurcoR000-110.01000—09:33
15D. SikuraR000000.00000—09:23
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)31292.9352.73+0.7359:42

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).