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Coyotes at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSAZ+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 1-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Nosek's goal at 10:38 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.0 to 1.0; shots on goal were ARI 14, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Nosek (1 G), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (14 saves, 1.000), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    T. Nosek1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury14 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI060404014
VGKVGK0901614129

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +32 pts
    0-1
    10:38

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:56VGKNicolas Hague · High stickingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 9:46ARIJason Demers · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min

3rd

  • 7:43VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 7:43ARIMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 19:45ARIConor Garland · Clippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalARI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Nosek, 3rd 10:38 — VGK 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.15A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.12W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.09W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.07N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.07T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 2.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsVGK
1.00 G
All situations
1 G2.0
0.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI27%73%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.95 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsVGK
14
Shots on goal
29
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
38
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
16
0
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-120.10240—26:48
33A. GoligoskiD000010.10100—25:05
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000010.03100—22:54
55J. DemersD000000.00312—21:37
81P. KesselR000000.13000—19:40
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.03610—19:13
8N. SchmaltzC000010.020102517:38
58M. BuntingL000000.003025017:24
83C. GarlandR000030.18012—16:25
18C. DvorakC000000.000003315:41
28D. HuntL000000.03600—15:15
22J. LarssonL000020.031303815:09
36C. FischerR000-100.00610—13:35
16D. BrassardC000-110.111103012:00
9C. KellerR000010.0300010011:54
67L. CrouseL000-100.00500—11:51
17T. PitlickC000010.16310011:41
79J. GrossD000000.00000—03:18
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)29281.9662.04+1.0458:37

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).