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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV BSAZ+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Utah Mammoth 6-4. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 2:02 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 8% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 25, SJS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Josef Korenar stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (1 G, 3 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alexander Barabanov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Kane1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Barabanov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0727211425
SJSSJS28212214634

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:17
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl (17), E. Kane (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:07

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.29win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:54
  2. SJS
    E. Kane (21)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    3:19
  3. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    4:43
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.29win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    10:05

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    2:02
  2. SJS
    E. Kane (22), T. Hertl (18)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    11:17
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.44win prob +9 pts
    4-5
    15:16
  4. SJS
    E. Kane(19)EN
    wristxG 0.52win prob +2 pts
    4-6
    19:51

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:21SJSRudolfs Balcers · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 8:43ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Hookingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 17:50ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Slashingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 2:18SJSGreg Pateryn · Holdingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 2:54ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 6:41SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 11:31ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by John Leonard2 min
  • 12:28ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 12:28SJSLogan Couture · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalARI goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 3rd 2:02 — ARI 8% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.52L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.29B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.24A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.22T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.19E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.10E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blichfeld · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS6 G · 3.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSJS
2.24 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.74 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI46%54%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSJS
25
Shots on goal
34
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
35
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD011+110.00110—26:47
6J. ChychrunD213+160.73232—24:25
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-120.07104—22:53
8N. SchmaltzC022000.000102518:43
18C. DvorakC000-100.000206317:36
9C. KellerR101030.39110—17:32
81P. KesselR000020.17000—17:26
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.02612—16:39
58M. BuntingL112020.10200—15:58
36C. FischerR000-220.2120010015:06
4N. HjalmarssonD000-200.00012—14:27
16D. BrassardC011010.134008814:10
22J. LarssonL000-210.240004014:10
55J. DemersD000-200.00200—13:46
67L. CrouseL000-110.02400—13:23
28D. HuntL011-120.0940010013:21
93L. PedersonC000010.012006008:39
15J. HaydenC011000.06410008:22
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)22211.9551.84+0.8436:11
35D. Kuemper1174.6360.66-3.3422:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).