Stars at Red Wings 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Dallas Stars

▸2

Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV BSSW+, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1 in overtime, Jamie Benn scoring at 0:32. The Red Wings scored first; the Stars answered. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 0:32 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.8 to 1.0; shots on goal were DAL 52, DET 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 96% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 16 of 17 (.941); Jonathan Bernier stopped 50 of 52 (.962), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (50 saves, .962), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G), 3. Mark Pysyk (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Bernier50 saves, .962
★★
J. Benn1 G
★★★
M. Pysyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
DAL	021	020	110	11	252
DET	13	03	011	00	117

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

D. Cholowski(1)
E. Svechnikov (4), R. Panik (7)
wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
0-1
16:17

3rd period

M. Pysyk(2)
J. Robertson (23), J. Oleksiak (7)
wristxG 0.26win prob +25 pts
1-1
3:52

Overtime

J. Benn(10)
Unassisted
snapxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
2-1
0:32

Penalties

2 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

9:38Troy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
12:34Filip Hronek · Holding the stickdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

2nd

1:59Sam Gagner · Holding the stickdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
14:07Evgeny Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

3rd

0:47Jason Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, OT 0:32 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.0 xG · 24 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 4.8 xG · 67 att DET

1 G · 1.0 xG · 24 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

4.82 G
All situations: 1 G1.0; 3.52 G
Even strength: 1 G0.9; 1.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.0; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

96%4%

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.76 – 0.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

52
Shots on goal: 17; 61%
Faceoffs: 39%; 0/4
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 8; 16
Hits: 15; 8
Blocked shots: 18; 4
Giveaways: 7; 3
Takeaways: 1

Box score

every player line

Dallas Stars skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
4M. HeiskanenD	0	0	0	+2	3	0.36	0	0	0	—	27:43
23E. LindellD	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	1	1	0	—	21:52
24R. HintzC	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	3	0	0	29	20:48
2J. OleksiakD	0	1	1	+1	3	0.25	3	0	0	—	20:46
21J. RobertsonL	0	1	1	+1	4	0.80	2	0	0	—	19:52
16J. PavelskiC	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	47	18:48
14J. BennL	1	0	1	+1	5	0.72	0	1	0	75	18:31
12R. FaksaC	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	0	0	0	75	16:38
18J. DickinsonC	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	1	2	100	16:23
5A. SekeraD	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	0	2	0	—	15:26
34D. GurianovR	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	0	0	0	—	15:09
15B. ComeauL	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	100	14:55
11A. CoglianoC	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	1	1	0	0	14:14
45S. VatanenD	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	—	13:41
44J. HanleyD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	3	1	0	—	12:55
37J. DowlingC	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	0	0	75	11:12
64T. KeroC	0	0	0	-1	3	0.50	0	0	0	50	11:11
13M. PysykD	1	0	1	+1	4	0.43	0	0	0	—	09:32

Dallas Stars goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35A. Khudobin(W)	17	16	1	.941	0.99	-0.01	60:32

Season series

DAL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings

1st period

3rd period

Overtime

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score