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Red Wings at Stars
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Dallas Stars
▸2
Final/OTTV FS-D, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1 in overtime, Jason Dickinson scoring at 1:32. The Red Wings scored first; the Stars answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Dickinson's goal at 1:32 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DET 1.5, DAL 1.3; shots on goal were DET 21, DAL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (1 G), 2. John Klingberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Dickinson1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    V. Namestnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET16060900121
DALDAL061110411222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    V. Namestnikov(1)
    T. Hirose (1), G. Smith (1)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:37

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Klingberg(1)PPG
    D. Gurianov (1), J. Pavelski (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    5:27

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Dickinson(1)
    J. Klingberg (5), D. Gurianov (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    1:32

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:46DETserved by B. Ryan · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:54DALTy Dellandrea · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Thomas Greiss2 min

2nd

  • 5:23DETFilip Hronek · Slashingdrawn by Justin Dowling2 min
  • 10:18DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 15:03DETLuke Glendening · Interferencedrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 16:10DALJoe Pavelski · Hookingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

3rd

  • 15:51DALRhett Gardner · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Dickinson, OT 1:32 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.17R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Kero · Missed · xG 0.07T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.04A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.02N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.01N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 1.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
1.51 G
All situations
2 G1.3
1.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 61 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET55%45%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 1.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
21
Shots on goal
22
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000020.08102—25:09
70T. StecherD000-110.01110—23:06
22P. NemethD000020.10040—22:04
18M. StaalD000010.06300—20:14
39A. ManthaR000-110.381005019:37
92V. NamestnikovC101030.221003318:36
59T. BertuzziL000000.00000—18:30
51V. FilppulaC000000.000105018:07
54B. RyanR000020.14320—18:00
41L. GlendeningC000000.001126017:37
71D. LarkinC000010.181023717:04
81F. NielsenC000000.0010010014:54
86M. BromeL000010.02100—14:30
65D. DeKeyserD000+110.03110—13:59
44C. DjoosD000+100.00030—12:53
67T. HiroseL011+120.0200010009:40
27M. RasmussenC000020.231005007:57
48G. SmithR011+120.03210—07:05
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(O)22202.9091.31-0.6961:23

Season series

DAL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).