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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Florida Panthers
▸4
Final/OTTV BSSO, BSFL·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 0:24. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 0:24 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 19, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Chris Driedger stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 2. Dougie Hamilton (2 G), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Weegar1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR17161600319
FLAFLA1801421311436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(7)
    A. Svechnikov (20), S. Lorentz (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:25
  2. FLA
    M. Weegar(4)
    J. Huberdeau (35), S. Bennett (11)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:35

2nd period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(8)PPG
    S. Aho (24), V. Trocheck (22)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    1:37

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(4)
    J. Gardiner (8), S. Aho (25)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:04
  2. FLA
    G. Forsling(4)
    J. Huberdeau (36), M. Weegar (23)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:48
  3. FLA
    A. Wennberg(12)SHG
    M. Weegar (24), A. Duclair (19)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    6:20

Overtime

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(22)
    C. Driedger (2), M. Weegar (25)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:24

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:10CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 9:18FLAPatric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 1:27FLAFrank Vatrano · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Nedeljkovic2 min
  • 6:04FLAPatric Hornqvist · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:31CARJake Gardiner · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 14:21CARMorgan Geekie · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 17:36FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 20:00CARNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

3rd

  • 5:18FLAJuho Lammikko · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 0:24 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.30A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.29S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.24A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.22F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.20S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.16M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.16S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.14N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.14M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.10R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 4.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
1.63 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR15%85%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
19
Shots on goal
36
63%
Faceoffs
38%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
34
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000010.19030—23:56
19D. HamiltonD202050.13220—23:47
22B. PesceD101010.02220—23:29
20S. AhoC022+110.071105521:17
11J. StaalC000-220.416005720:59
16V. TrocheckC011-330.124007020:44
88M. NecasC000010.2522010019:24
37A. SvechnikovR011020.14302—19:18
51J. GardinerD011010.02122—17:31
13W. FoegeleL000010.11000—16:40
21N. NiederreiterR000-110.20212—16:27
58J. HakanpääD000-100.00600—15:44
18C. PaquetteC000-100.0011010015:37
78S. LorentzC011+100.003005012:32
33J. RyanD000-100.00000—10:33
67M. GeekieC000-100.000125007:30
29D. ShoreC000000.000005004:02
28M. McCormickL000000.00100—03:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(O)36324.8894.03+0.0360:24

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).