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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-F·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 0:38 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 23, CAR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA051919223
CARCAR14110212426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(13)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (12), D. Hamilton (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    15:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(11)
    M. Necas (14), S. Aho (13)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:52
  2. FLA
    M. Weegar(2)
    N. Acciari (1)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:41

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(9)SHG
    J. Martinook (6), J. Slavin (6)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    1-3
    0:38
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(5)
    B. McGinn (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:41
  3. FLA
    M. Marchment(2)
    J. Huberdeau (19), A. Barkov (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    9:09

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:48FLARyan Lomberg · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 13:44CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Juho Lammikko2 min
  • 15:47FLAMason Marchment · Slashingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 17:52FLAMason Marchment · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 19:12CARVincent Trocheck · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 5:39CARJaccob Slavin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:25FLAserved by M. Marchment · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 19:19CARAndrei Svechnikov · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

3rd

  • 10:04FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 17:36CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:54FLAKeith Yandle · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 19:54CARJordan Staal · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 3rd 0:38 — CAR 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.68J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.39W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.16J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR4 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
1.92 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA46%54%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/5
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000000.03000—24:39
3K. YandleD000-220.04012—22:19
16A. BarkovC011010.170206421:58
7R. GudasD000-120.04420—19:59
42G. ForslingD000+130.30010—19:40
21A. WennbergC000-100.000003318:57
11J. HuberdeauL011-120.20000—18:16
70P. HornqvistR000-220.20300—18:00
52M. WeegarD101+120.04420—17:57
23C. VerhaegheC000020.19102017:27
55N. AcciariC011+100.001205015:45
19M. MarchmentL101020.29104—13:53
77F. VatranoR000020.12010—13:16
44K. ConnautonD000-100.03300—12:21
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.001203812:10
83J. LammikkoC000+110.151106711:30
94R. LombergL000+110.05102—08:09
14G. DenisenkoL000-100.00100—08:06
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)26224.8462.07-1.9357:24

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).