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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV BSSO, BSFL·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Panthers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 8:52 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.7 to 4.1; shots on goal were FLA 36, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Petr Mrazek stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Staal (2 G), 3. Petr Mrazek (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA113113010236
CARCAR07117412536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(15)
    M. Weegar (21), C. Verhaeghe (17)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:19

2nd period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(15)PPG
    S. Aho (19), A. Svechnikov (17)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    18:03
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(16)
    C. Verhaeghe (18), M. Marchment (6)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    18:30

3rd period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(5)PPG
    V. Trocheck (16), S. Aho (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    0:45
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(11)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    8:52
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(12)EN
    W. Foegele (7)
    wristxG 0.71win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    18:20
  4. CAR
    J. Fast(6)EN
    S. Aho (21)
    snapxG 0.85
    2-5
    19:04

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:10CARAndrei Svechnikov · Illegal check to headdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 15:11FLAFrank Vatrano · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 12:24CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Kiersted2 min
  • 12:31FLAAleksander Barkov · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 16:52FLAKeith Yandle · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 19:17FLAFrank Vatrano · Interferencedrawn by Jake Bean2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 3rd 8:52 — CAR 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.85J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.71M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.28A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.25V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.22N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.17J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.16D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.16J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.13B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
4.12 G
All situations
3 G4.7
3.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA60%40%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
36
Shots on goal
36
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
41
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011+140.17600—22:08
7R. GudasD000-120.03330—21:21
8M. KierstedD000-110.02000—21:03
16A. BarkovC202-140.603225221:02
42G. ForslingD000+110.01100—20:51
21A. WennbergC000-250.503003620:27
23C. VerhaegheC022+120.24000020:12
19M. MarchmentL011+130.35310—19:13
55N. AcciariC000030.705206019:08
6A. StralmanD000-100.01010—17:41
11J. HuberdeauL000-110.04200—16:33
77F. VatranoR000030.67304—15:02
70P. HornqvistR000-120.15610—14:17
83J. LammikkoC000010.043003314:13
61R. StillmanD000-110.09110—10:00
27E. LuostarinenC000020.25110008:19
74O. TippettR000-210.25100—06:49
3K. YandleD000000.00002—05:50
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)34313.9123.18+0.1859:00

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).