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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Final/OTTV NHLN, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Jonathan Huberdeau scoring at 2:29. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 2:29 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 37, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G, 1 A), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G), 3. Chris Driedger (32 saves, .914).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Driedger32 saves, .914

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA01011121412437
CARCAR2130121703335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(7)
    W. Foegele (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:28
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(5)
    B. Pesce (7), B. McGinn (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:50

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(6)PPG
    K. Yandle (7), C. Driedger (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    10:52

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Wennberg(4)
    J. Huberdeau (13), P. Hornqvist (7)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:11
  2. FLA
    J. Lammikko(1)
    R. Lomberg (1)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    12:06
  3. CAR
    V. Trocheck(7)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (8), D. Hamilton (9)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    13:39

Overtime

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(7)
    A. Barkov (10)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:29

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:42CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 12:55FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 10:15CARWarren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 13:08CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 20:00FLACarter Verhaeghe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Nedeljkovic2 min

3rd

  • 5:32CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:32FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Holding the stickdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, OT 2:29 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.28B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.22A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.20J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.19V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.74 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA32%68%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
37
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000040.35020—26:05
52M. WeegarD000-140.15112—23:51
6A. StralmanD000+120.05000—22:11
16A. BarkovC011030.212105020:40
23C. VerhaegheC000-120.4401410018:06
21A. WennbergC101010.200102917:44
42G. ForslingD000+130.06120—17:23
11J. HuberdeauL213+130.60000—17:03
91A. DuclairL000-120.12000—16:53
3K. YandleD011000.05000—16:03
70P. HornqvistR011030.09110—16:01
7R. GudasD000020.01400—14:40
27E. LuostarinenC000000.001103614:37
77F. VatranoR000040.29000—13:26
10B. ConnollyR000+100.00100—13:06
83J. LammikkoC101+110.012103813:04
94R. LombergL011+120.07200—12:34
74O. TippettR000010.03000—09:55
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(W)35323.9143.94+0.9462:29

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).