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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV BSSO, BSFL·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 6:35 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 24, CAR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0608010024
CARCAR191716322

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(16)PPG
    V. Trocheck (17), A. Svechnikov (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    14:31

2nd period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(16)
    M. Necas (20), B. Skjei (6)
    deflectedxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:35

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(10)EN
    N. Niederreiter (10)
    wristxG 0.53
    0-3
    19:08

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:05CARBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 6:27FLARyan Lomberg · Trippingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
  • 14:24FLAMatt Kiersted · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

2nd

  • 1:05CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 9:23FLAMarkus Nutivaara · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 13:58CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:56CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 2:18FLAPatric Hornqvist · Holding the stickdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 4:36CARBrett Pesce · Slashingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 4:36FLAPatric Hornqvist · Slashingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 12:17FLAMason Marchment · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:17CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 2nd 6:35 — CAR 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.53V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.26J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.26N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.25N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.20J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.20J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.19J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.18S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.14J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR3 G · 4.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.10 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA29%71%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 3.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
22
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
39
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16A. BarkovC000040.482006923:07
52M. WeegarD000000.00700—20:29
7R. GudasD000-120.10210—20:00
23C. VerhaegheC000-160.541003319:48
3K. YandleD000040.23100—19:38
42G. ForslingD000-110.06000—19:16
11J. HuberdeauL000-110.09000—18:39
70P. HornqvistR000020.17204—17:26
19M. MarchmentL000-110.03502—16:40
55N. AcciariC000-210.131404316:33
21A. WennbergC000-100.072005616:14
77F. VatranoR000010.03210—16:05
8M. KierstedD000-110.15122—14:46
65M. NutivaaraD000-100.03102—12:50
94R. LombergL000000.02702—11:56
25B. KeeperD000000.00100—09:28
83J. LammikkoC000000.002005008:40
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.0020010008:29
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)21192.9053.44+1.4459:22

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).